The well marked low pressure area over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area concentrated into a Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea and lay centred at 0530 hours IST of today the 1^st June, 2020 near latitude 13.0°N and longitude 71.4°E about 370 km southwest of Panjim (Goa), 690km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 920 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat). It is very likely to intensify into a Deep Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea during next 12 hours and intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm over Eastcentral Arabian Sea during the subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards initially till 02^nd June Morning and then recurve north-northeastwards and cross north Maharashtra and south Gujarat coasts between Harihareshwar (Raigad,  Maharashtra) and Daman during evening/ night of 3^rd June .

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

The Depression over south coastal Oman and adjoining Yemen remained practically stationary weakened into a well marked low pressure area and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 1^st June, 2020 over the same region. It is very likely to weaken further gradually into a low pressure area during next 24 hours.

Warnings:

1. Rainfall: 

• Under the influence of the Depression, light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy falls very likely over Lakshadweep area, north Kerala and coastal Karnataka, today the 1^st June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over south Konkan & Goa on 01^st June. Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over Konkan & Goa on 02^nd June and over south Konkan & Goa on 03^rd June.
• Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra on 03^rd & 04^th June.
• Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli on 03^rd June and with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places over south Gujarat state, Daman, Diu, Dadra & Nagar Haveli and on 04^th June.

 (ii)        Wind warning

• Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph, is prevailing over Eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to become 50-60 kmph gusting to 70kmph over Eastcentral and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea during next 48 hours.  It will gradually increase becoming Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph over eastcentral Arabian Sea  and along and off south Maharashtra coast from 2^nd June morning and further becoming 105-115 kmph gusting to 125 kmph over eastcentral and northeast Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra coast and 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph along & off south Gujarat coast from 3^rd June evening.
• Squally wind, speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph is likely prevail over eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours.
• Squally wind, speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over Lakshadweep area and along & off Kerala coast during next 48 hours.

(iii)       Sea condition

• The Sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough over Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast  Arabian Sea during next 48 hours. It would become very rough to High over eastcentral & southeast Arabian Sea and along & off Karnataka-Goa coasts during next 48 hours. It will be High to very High over Eastcentral Arabian Sea along and off Maharashtra coast from 2^nd June. 
• The Sea condition is very likely to be very rough to High over northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat coast from 3^rd June.

(iv)       Fishermen Warning

• Fishermen are advised not to venture into southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area and along & off Kerala coast during next 48 hours; eastcentral Arabian Sea and along & off  Karnataka-Goa coasts till 3^rd June; eastcentral Arabian Sea along & off Maharashtra coast and northeast Arabian Sea along & off Gujarat coast during 3^rd – 4^th June.

Kindly visit www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in  and www.mausam.imd.gov.in  for updates on the system.

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NB/KGS/(IMD releases)