The Cyclonic Storm ‘HIKAA’ over northeast and adjoining east central Arabian sea moved nearly westwards with a speed of 17 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 23^rd September, 2019 over the same region near latitude 20.4°N and longitude 65.7°E, about 490 km west-southwest of Veraval (Gujarat), 520 km south-southwest of Karachi (Pakistan) and 710 km east-southeast of Masirah (Oman). It is likely to intensify further during next 24 hours and weaken gradually thereafter. It is very likely to move nearly westwards and cross Oman coast between latitude 19°N and 20°N during early hours of 25^th September 2019 as a deep depression.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST)

Position

(Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)

Maximum sustained surface 

wind speed (Kmph)

Category of cyclonic disturbance

23.09.19/0830

20.4/65.7

60-70 gusting to 80

23.09.19/1130

20.3/65.3

65-75 gusting to 85

23.09.19/1730

20.2/64.5

70-80 gusting to 90

23.09.19/2330

20.1/63.2

75-85 gusting to 95

24.09.19/0530

20.0/62.0

70-80 gusting to 90

24.09.19/1730

19.8/60.0

60-70 gusting to 80

25.09.19/0530

19.6/57.6

45-55 gusting to 65

25.09.19/1730

19.4/55.5

35-45 gusting to 55

Warnings:

(i) Wind warning

• Strong wind, speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph, very likely to prevail along & off Gujarat coast during next 12 hours and decrease thereafter.
• Gale wind, speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph very likely to prevail over northeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea, which is likely to become 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph over northeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea by 23^rd evening and decrease thereafter becoming 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph by 24^th morning. It is likely to be squally wind speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph, over northwest and adjoining west central Arabian Sea and is likely to increase gradually becoming 75-85 kmph gusting to 95 kmph from 24^th morning for subsequent 06 hours. It will gradually decrease thereafter becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph by 25^th morning along & off Oman coast.

(ii) Sea condition

The sea condition is very likely to be rough along & off Gujarat coast during next 12 hours. Sea conditions will be high over northeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea during next 12 hours and very rough during subsequent 12 hours. Sea conditions will be rough to very rough over northwest and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea during next 12 hours and high during subsequent 24 hours. It will become rough to very rough thereafter.

(iii) Fishermen Warning

The fishermen are advised not to venture into northeast and adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea till 24^th morning and into northwest & adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea till 25^th morning.

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GK/LV