Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation

Provisional Estimates of Annual National Income, 2018-19 and Quarterly Estimates(Q4) of Gross Domestic Product, 2018-19

Posted On: 31 MAY 2019 5:30PM by PIB Delhi

The National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation,has released the Provisional Estimates of National Income for the financial year 2018-19, both at Constant (2011-12) and Current Prices.These are presented in Statements 1 to 4.

2.         Quarterly Estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (January-March) of 2018-19, both at Constant (2011-12) and Current Prices along with the corresponding quarterly estimates of expenditure components of GDP are also released. The four quarters of a financial year are denoted by Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4.Estimates including growth rates of Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2018-19 released earlier have been revised in accordance with the revision policy of National Accounts.GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q4 of 2018-19 is estimated at `37.20lakh crore, as against `35.15lakh crore in Q4 of 2017-18, showing a growth rate of 5.8 percent. Quarterly estimates for the years 2016-17,  2017-18, and 2018-19 are presented in Statements 5 to 8.

 

3.         GDP growth rates for 2018-19and Q1, Q2,Q3 and Q4 of 2018-19 atConstant (2011-12) and Current Prices are given below:

 

Growth Rates of GDP

 

Constant Prices(2011-12)

Current Prices

Annual 2018 -19

6.8

11.2

Q1 2018-19 (April-June)

8.0

12.6

Q2 2018-19 (July-Sep)

7.0

12.0

Q3 2018-19 (Oct-Dec)

6.6

11.0

Q4 2018-19 (Jan-Mar)

5.8

9.4

 

I.        PROVISIONAL ESTIMATES OF NATIONAL INCOME, 2018-19

4.         The Second Advance Estimates of National Income for the year 2018-19were released on 28th February, 2019. These estimates have now been revised incorporating latest estimates of Agricultural Production, Index of Industrial Production(IIP) and performance of key sectors like, Railways, Transport other than Railways, Communication, Banking, Insurance and Government Revenue Expenditure.With the introduction of Goods and Services Tax (GST) from 1st July 2017 and consequent changes in the tax structure, the total Tax Revenue used for GDP compilation include non-GST Revenue and GST Revenue.Early results on the performance of Corporate Sector for April-December 2018 which were used in The Second Advance Estimates have been revised on the basis of latest available information.

                                                                                                                                

5.         The salient features of these estimates are detailed below:

 

I. (a)  Estimates at Constant (2011-12) Prices

 

Gross Domestic Product

 

     6.    Real GDP or GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices for the year 2018-19 is now estimated at`140.78lakhcroreshowing a growth rate of 6.8percentover First Revised Estimates of GDPfor the year 2017-18of`131.80lakhcrore, released on 31st January, 2019.

 

Gross Value Added (GVA)atBasic Prices

7.         Real GVA, i.e, GVA at Basic Constant (2011-12)Prices for the year 2018-19 is now estimated at `129.07 lakh crores showing a growth rate of 6.6percent over First Revised Estimates of GVA for the year 2017-18of`121.04 lakh crore, released on 31st January, 2019.

 

8.         The sectors which registered growth rate of over 7.0percent are'public administration, defence and other services’ (8.6 percent), construction (8.7 percent), 'financial, real estate and professional services' (7.4 percent), ‘electricity, gas, water supply &other utility services(7.0 percent)’.The growth in the ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’, ‘mining &quarrying’, ‘manufacturing’and ‘trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting’ isestimated to be 2.9percent, 1.3percent, 6.9 percentand 6.9 percent respectively.

9.         Industry analysis

Agriculture

9.1.      The ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’ sector has shown a growth rate of 2.9percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 5.0 per cent.The GVA estimates of this sector have been compiled using the provisional estimates(3rd Advance Estimates of crop production 2018-19)providedby the Department of Agriculture, Cooperation & Farmers Welfare (DAC & FW), Ministry of Agriculture. In case of Livestock sector, estimates of production, mainly in the form of production targets for Milk, Egg, Meat and Wool from the Department of Animal Husbandry & Dairying, and Fish production data from Department of Fisheries (DADF), Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare have been used.

Mining and Quarrying

 

9.2       The ‘Mining and Quarrying’ sector has shown a growth rate of 1.3 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 5.1 per cent. The Index of Industrial Production of Mining registered growth of2.8 percent during 2018-19as compared to 2.3 percent during 2017-18. The Private Corporate sector growth in the Mining sector was estimated using the latest available information on major Listed Companies for the financial year 2018-19.Further, growth in WPI of Minerals, Coal, Crude Oil and Natural Gas is estimated at 11.3, 7.3,(-)4.2and (-)1.8 percent respectively during 2018-19  as compared to 8.3,  2.6,  (-)0.9 and 2.4 percent respectively during 2017-18.

Manufacturing

9.3       The growth in the ‘Manufacturing’sector is estimated at 6.9percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 5.9 percent. The Private Corporate sector growth (which has a share of around70 percent in the Manufacturing sector) was estimated from available data of listed companies with BSE and NSE. The Quasi - Corporate and Unorganized segment (which has a share of over 20 percent in the Manufacturing sector) has been estimated using IIP of Manufacturing. The IIP of Manufacturing registered a growth rate of 3.5percent during 2018-19.The Wholesale Price Index (WPI), in respect of the manufactured products registered a growth of 3.7percent during April-March, 2018-19 as compared to 2.7 percent during April-March, 2017-18.

Electricity, Gas, Water Supply and Other Utility Services

 

9.4       GVA at Basic Prices for 2018-19 from ‘Electricity, Gas, Water Supply and Other Utility Services’ sector is estimated at 7.0percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 8.6 percent. The key indicator of this sector, namely,IIP of Electricity registered a growth rate of 5.2 percent during April-March, 2018-19.

Construction

 

9.5       GVA at Basic Prices for 2018-19 from ‘Construction’ sector is estimated at 8.7percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 5.6 percent. Key indicators of Construction sector, namely, production of Cement and consumption of finished Steel registered growth rates of 13.3 per cent and 7.5 percent, respectively, during 2018-19 as compared to 6.3 percent and 7.9 percent respectively, during 2017-18.

Trade, Hotels, Transport, Communication and Services related to Broadcasting

9.6.      GVA at Basic Prices for 2018-19 from this sector is estimated at 6.9percentas against previous year’s growth rate of 7.8 percent. Key indicator used for estimating GVA from Trade sector is the Sales Tax growth. With introduction of GST, Sales Tax data is now subsumed under GST. Therefore, a comparable estimate of turnover based on Sales Tax has been estimated. Methodology of estimation is as explained in the Annex to the press note on estimates of GDP for the second quarter (July-September) of 2017-18 released on 30th November, 2017. Indicator used for measuring GVA from Hotels and Restaurant sector is the Private Corporate growth in this sector. Among the other Services sectors, the key indicators of Railways, namely, the Net Tonne Kilometres and Passenger Kilometres have shown growth rate of 6.6 per cent and 1.3 percent respectively during 2018-19. In case of other Transport sectors, Passengers Handled by the Civil Aviation, Cargo Handled by the Civil Aviation and Cargo Handled at Major Sea Ports registered growth rates of 11.6 percent, 2.6 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively, during 2018-19. Sales of Commercial Vehicles registered 17.6 percent growth during April-March2018-19.

 

Financial, Real Estate and Professional Services

 

9.7       The sector'Financial, Real Estate and Professional Services' has shown a growth rate of 7.4percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 6.2 percent. Major component of this industry is the Real Estate and Professional Services which has a share of 72.0percent. The key indicators of this sector are the quarterly growth of Corporate sector for Real Estate, Business services and Computer related activities which is estimated from available data from Listed Companies. The key indicators of Banking, namely, Aggregate Bank Deposits and Bank Credits have shown growth of 10.0 percent and 13.3 percent, respectively,during March,2019.

 

Public Administration, Defence and Other Services

 

9.8       The sector ‘Public Administration, Defence and Other Services' has shown a growth rate of 8.6percentas against previous year’s growth rate of 11.9 per cent. The key indicator of this sector namely, Union Government Revenue Expenditure grew by 12.5 percent during this period.

 

Gross National Income

 

10.       The Gross National Income (GNI) at 2011-12 Prices is now estimated at `139.32lakhcroreduring 2018-19, as against the previous year’s estimate of`130.34lakh crore. In terms of growth rates, the Gross National Income is estimated to have risen by 6.9percent during 2018-19, in comparison to the growth rate of 7.2percent in 2017-18.

 

 

Per Capita Income

11.       The Per Capita Income in real terms (at 2011-12 Prices) during 2018-19 is estimated to have attained a level of `92565 as compared to`87,623for the year 2017-18. The growth rate in Per Capita Income is estimated at 5.6percent during 2018-19, as against 5.7 percent in the previous year.

 

Price indices used as deflators

 

12.       The Wholesale Price Index (WPI), in respect of the groups Food Articles, Minerals, Manufactured Products, Electricity and all commodities, has risen by 0.4 percent, 11.3 percent, 3.7 percent, 6.0 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively during April-March, 2018-19. The Consumer Price Index has shown a rise of 3.4 percent during April- March, 2018-19.

I. (b) Estimates at Current Prices

 

Gross Domestic Product

 

13.       GDP at Current Prices for the year 2018-19 is estimated at `190.10lakh crore, showing a growth rate of 11.2 percent over the First Revised Estimates of GDP for the year 2017-18 of `170.95 lakh crore.

 

14.       All sectors,except Agriculture, i.e., ‘Mining & Quarrying’, ‘Manufacturing’, ‘Electricity, Gas, Water Supply and Other Utility Services’, ‘Construction’,‘Trade, Hotels, Transport, Communication and Services Related to Broadcasting’,  'Financial, Real Estate & Professional Services', and 'Public Administration, Defence and Other Services’have registered growth rate of over 9.0 percent and above at Current Prices. 

 

National Income

 

15.       The GNI atCurrent Prices is estimated at `188.17 lakh crore during 2018-19, as compared to `169.10lakh crore during 2017-18, showing a rise of 11.3percent.

 

Per Capita Net National Income

 

16.       The Per Capita Income at Current Prices during 2018-19 is estimated to have attained a level of`1,26,406as compared to the estimates for the year 2017-18 of`1,14,958showing a rise of10.0percent.

 

II        ANNUAL ESTIMATES OF EXPENDITURES OF GDP, 2018-19

 

17.       Along with the ProvisionalEstimates of GDP by economic activity, the NSO is also releasing the estimates of expenditures of the GDP at Current and Constant (2011-12) Prices. These estimates have been compiled using the data on indicators available from the same sources as those used for compiling GVA estimates by economic activity, detailed data available on Merchandise Trade in respect of Imports and Exports, Balance of Payments, and monthly expenditure of Central and State Government. As various components of expenditure on Gross Domestic Product, namely, Consumption Expenditure and Capital Formation, are normally measured at Market Prices, the discussion in the following paragraphs is in terms of Market Prices only.

 

Private Final Consumption Expenditure

 

18.       Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at Current Prices is estimated at `112.90lakhcrore in 2018-19as against`100.83lakhcrore in 2017-18. At Constant (2011-12) Prices, the PFCE is estimated at`80.17lakhcrore in 2018-19 as against`74.17lakhcrore in 2017-18. In terms of GDP, the rates of PFCE at Current and Constant (2011-12) Prices during 2018-19 are estimated at 59.4percent and 56.9percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 59.0 percent and 56.3percent, respectively in 2017-18.

 

Government Final Consumption Expenditure

 

19.     Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at Current Pricesisestimatedat`21.35lakhcrore in 2018-19 as against`18.86lakh crore in 2017-18. At Constant (2011-12) Prices, the GFCE is estimated at`15.06lakh crore in 2018-19as against `13.79lakh crore in 2017-18. In terms of GDP, the rates of GFCE at Current and Constant (2011-12) Prices during 2018-19are estimated at 11.2percent and 10.7percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 11.0percent and 10.5percent, respectively in 2017-18.

 

Gross Fixed Capital Formation

 

20.       Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at Current Prices is estimated at`55.70lakh crore in 2018-19as against`48.97lakh crore in 2017-18. At Constant (2011-12) Prices, the GFCF is estimated at `45.48lakhcrore in2018-19 as against `41.37lakh crore in 2017-18. In terms of GDP, the rates of GFCF at Current and Constant (2011-12) Prices during 2018-19 are estimated at 29.3percent and 32.3percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 28.6percent and 31.4percent, respectively, in 2017-18.

 

21.       Estimates of Gross/ Net National Income and Per Capita Income, along with GVA at Basic Prices by kind of economic activity and the Expenditures of GDP for the years 2016-17, 2017-18 and 2018-19 at Constant (2011-12) and Current Prices are given in Statements 1 to 4.

III      QUARTERLY ESTIMATES OF GDP FOR Q4 (JANUARY-MARCH), 2018-19

 

III.(a)  Estimates at Constant (2011-12) Prices

22.       GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q4 of2018-19 is estimated at `37.20lakh crore, as against`35.15lakhcrore in Q4 of 2017-18, showing a growth rate of 5.8percent.  GVA at Basic Prices at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q4 of 2018-19 is estimated at `33.06lakhcrore, as against `31.27lakhcrore in Q4 of 2017-18, showing a growth rate of 5.7percent.

23.       Growth rates in various sectors in Q4 of 2018-19 are as follows: ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’ (-0.1 percent), ‘Mining and Quarrying’ (4.2percent), ‘Manufacturing’ (3.1percent), ‘Electricity, Gas, Water Supply and Other Utility Services’ (4.3percent) ‘Construction’ (7.1percent), 'Trade, Hotels, Transport and Communication' (6.0percent), 'Financial, Real Estate and Professional Services' (9.5percent), and ‘Public Administration, Defence and other Services' (10.7percent).

24.       According to the latest estimates of IIP, the Index of Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity registered growth rates of 2.2percent, 0.1 percentand 1.5 percent, respectively, in Q4 of 2018-19, as compared to the growth rates of 1.1 percent, 7.5 percent and 6.1 percent, respectively in these sectors in Q4, 2017-18. Performance of corporate sector based on available information from BSE/NSE has been taken into account for compiling quarterly estimates.

 

25.       The key indicators of Railways, namely, the Net Tonne Kilometers and Passenger Kilometers have shown growth rates of 5.8percentand (-)0.5percent,respectively in Q4 of 2018-19, as against the growth rates 7.4 percent and 9.9, in the corresponding period of previous year. In the Transport and Communication sectors, Cargo Handled at Major Ports registered a growth rate of 0.1 percent in Q4 of 2018-19.The Trade, Hotels, Transport, Communication and Services Related to Broadcasting sector have registered a growth of6.0percent inQ4 of 2018-19 as against6.4percent in Q4 of 2017-18.  The sector ‘Public Administration, Defence and Other Services' has shown a growth rate of10.7 percent in Q4 of 2018-19 as against the growth rate of 15.2per cent in 2017-18.

 

26.       The PFCE and GFCF at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q4 of 2018-19 are estimated at`21.11lakh croreand`11.42lakh crore, respectively. The rates of PFCE and GFCF as percentage of GDP in Q4 of 2018-19were56.8percent and 30.7percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 56.0percent and 31.4percent, respectively in Q4 of 2017-18.

 

III.(b)Estimates at Current Prices

 

27.       GDP at Current Prices in Q4 of 2018-19 is estimated at`50.16lakh crore, as against`45.85lakhcrore in Q4 of 2017-18, showing a growth of9.4percent. GVA at Current Basic Prices in Q4 of2018-19 is estimated at`44.02lakh crore, as against `40.20lakhcrore in Q4 of 2017-18, showing a growth of 9.5percent.Growth rates in various sectors are as follows: ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’ (3.8percent), ‘Mining and Quarrying’ (9.7percent), ‘Manufacturing’ (5.7percent), ‘Electricity, Gas, Water Supply and Other Utility Services’ (8.8percent) ‘Construction’ (10.3percent), 'Trade, Hotels, Transport and Communication' (9.3percent), 'Financial, Real Estate and Professional Services' (13.3percent), and ‘Public Administration, Defenceand Other Services' (16.3 percent).

 

28.         The PFCE and GFCF at Current Prices in Q4 of 2018-19 are estimated at `29.75lakh crore and `13.99 lakh crore, respectively. The rates of PFCE and GFCF at Current Prices as percentage of GDP in Q4 of 2018-19 are estimated at 59.3percent and 27.9percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 59.0percent and 28.6percent, respectively in Q4 of 2017-18.

 

29.       The Wholesale Price Index (WPI), in respect of the groups, Food Articles, Minerals, Manufactured Products, Electricity and all commodities, has risen by 4.1 percent, 10.0 percent, 2.4 percent, 4.4 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively during Q4 of 2018-19. The Consumer Price Index has shown a rise of 2.5 percent during Q4 of 2018-19.

 

30.       Estimates of GVA at Basic Prices by kind of economic activity and the expenditures of GDP for the four quarters of 2016-17, 2017-18and 2018-19 at Constant (2011-12) and Current Prices, are given in Statements 5 to 8.

 

31.       The next release of quarterly GDP estimate for the quarter April-June, 2019 (Q1 of 2019-20) will be on 30.08.2019.

 

STATEMENT 1: Provisional Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP, 2018-19 (At 2011- 12 Prices)

 

 

(` crore)

 

 

 

S. No.

Item

2016-17

 

2017-18

 

2018-19

(PE)

percentage change over previous year

 

2017-18

2018-19

 

Domestic Product

 

 

 

 

1

GVA at basic prices

11,318,972

12,104,165

12,906,936

6.9

6.6

2

NetTaxes on Products

979,355

1,075,693

1,170,650

9.8

8.8

3

GDP (1+2)

12,298,327

13,179,857

14,077,586

7.2

6.8

4

NDP

10,917,373

11,676,896

12,474,945

7.0

6.8

 

Final Expenditures

 

 

 

 

    5

PFCE

6,904,085

7,417,489

8,016,674

7.4

8.1

6

GFCE

1,199,041

1,378,563

1,506,035

15.0

9.2

7

   GFCF

3,783,778

4,136,572

4,548,452

9.3

10.0

8

   CIS

124,087

150,417

157,637

21.2

4.8

9

   VALUABLES

150,784

192,120

174,780

27.4

-9.0

10

Exports of goods and services

2,490,437

2,607,310

2,933,969

4.7

12.5

11

Less Imports of goods and services

2,621,586

3,083,560

3,557,901

17.6

15.4

12

Discrepancies

267,700

380,947

297,939

 

 

13

GDP

12,298,327

13,179,857

14,077,586

7.2

6.8

 

RATES TO GDP

 

 

 

 

 

14

PFCE

56.1

56.3

56.9

 

 

15

GFCE

9.7

10.5

10.7

 

 

16

   GFCF

30.8

31.4

32.3

 

 

17

   CIS

1.0

1.1

1.1

 

 

18

   VALUABLES

1.2

1.5

1.2

 

 

19

Exports of goods and services

20.3

19.8

20.8

 

 

20

Less Imports of goods and services

21.3

23.4

25.3

 

 

21

Discrepancies

2.2

2.9

2.1

 

 

22

GDP

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

GNI

12,153,754

13,034,121

13,932,287

7.2

6.9

24

NNI

10,772,800

11,531,159

12,329,646

7.0

6.9

                  Per Capita Income, Product and Final Consumption

25

Population *(in Million)

1,299

1,316

1,332

1.3

1.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26

Per Capita GDP  (`)

94,675

100,151

105,688

5.8

5.5

27

Per Capita GNI (`)

93,562

99,043

104,597

5.9

5.6

28

Per Capita NNI (`)

82,931

87,623

92,565

5.7

5.6

29

Per Capita PFCE (`)

53,149

56,364

60,185

6.0

6.8

                   

*Relates to mid-financial year

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

 

STATEMENT 2: Provisional Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP, 2018-19( At Current Prices)

 

 

 (` crore)

 

 

S.No.

Item

2016-17

 

2017-18

 

2018-19

(PE)

percentage change over previous year

 

 

 

 

 

2017-18

2018-19

 

Domestic Product

 

 

 

 

1

GVA at basic prices

13,935,917

15,482,715

17,199,815

11.1

11.1

2

Net Taxes on Products

1,426,469

1,612,290

1,810,349

13.0

12.3

3

GDP (1+2)

15,362,386

17,095,005

19,010,164

11.3

11.2

4

NDP

13,771,661

15,313,286

17,030,846

11.2

11.2

 

Final Expenditures

 

 

 

 

    5

PFCE

9,115,769

10,083,121

11,290,029

10.6

12.0

6

GFCE

1,583,312

1,885,613

2,134,615

19.1

13.2

7

   GFCF

4,335,014

4,896,813

5,569,998

13.0

13.7

8

   CIS

139,714

173,890

187,671

24.5

7.9

9

   VALUABLES

166,559

218,706

193,992

31.3

-11.3

10

Exports of goods and services

2,948,772

3,210,547

3,752,230

8.9

16.9

11

Less Imports of goods and services

3,220,591

3,758,519

4,493,933

16.7

19.6

12

Discrepancies

293,838

384,835

375,562

 

 

13

GDP

15,362,386

17,095,005

19,010,164

11.3

11.2

 

RATES TO GDP

 

 

 

 

14

PFCE

59.3

59.0

59.4

 

 

15

GFCE

10.3

11.0

11.2

 

 

16

   GFCF

28.2

28.6

29.3

 

 

17

   CIS

0.9

1.0

1.0

 

 

18

   VALUABLES

1.1

1.3

1.0

 

 

19

Exports of goods and services

19.2

18.8

19.7

 

 

20

Less Imports of goods and services

21.0

22.0

23.6

 

 

21

Discrepancies

1.9

2.3

2.0

 

 

22

GDP

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

GNI

15,185,986

16,910,192

18,816,538

11.4

11.3

24

NNI

13,595,261

15,128,474

16,837,219

11.3

11.3

25

GNDI

15,565,424

17,315,933

19,237,943

11.2

11.1

26

NNDI

13,974,699

15,534,214

17,258,624

11.2

11.1 

                  Per Capita Income, Product and Final Consumption

 

27

Per Capita GDP(`)

118,263

129,901

142,719

9.8

9.9

28

Per Capita GNI (`)

116,905

128,497

141,265

9.9

9.9

29

Per Capita NNI (`)

104,659

114,958

126,406

9.8

10.0

30

Per Capita GNDI(`)

119,826

131,580

144,429

9.8

9.8

31

Per Capita PFCE(`)

70,175

76,619

84,760

9.2

10.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Estimates of Disposable Income are compiled only at current prices.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PE: Provisional Estimates

 STATEMENT 3: Provisional Estimates of GVA at Basic Price by Economic Activity 

 (At 2011-12 prices)                   

(` crore)

   

Industry

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

(PE)

Percentage change over previous year

     

2017-18

2018-19

1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

1,717,467

1,803,039

1,855,632

5.0

2.9

2. Mining & quarrying

348,089

365,677

370,564

5.1

1.3

3. Manufacturing

2,055,043

2,176,923

2,328,040

5.9

6.9

4. Electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services

246,491

267,720

286,427

8.6

7.0

5. Construction

917,754

969,194

1,053,901

5.6

8.7

6.Trade,hotels,transport,communication and services related to broadcasting

2,145,415

2,312,214

2,471,128

7.8

6.9

7. Financial, real estate  & professional services

2,494,444

2,649,146

2,846,393

6.2

7.4

8. Public administration, defence and Other services

1,394,269

1,560,252

1,694,851

11.9

8.6

GVA at Basic Price

11,318,972

12,104,165

12,906,936

6.9

6.6

                

 

 

 

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

 

STATEMENT 4: Provisional Estimates of GVA at Basic Priceby Economic Activity

 (At Current Prices)

 

(` crore)

 

Industry

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

(PE)

Percentage change over previous year

     

2017-18

2018-19

1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

2,496,358

2,670,147

2,775,852

7.0

4.0

2. Mining & quarrying

321,872

351,058

410,151

9.1

16.8

3. Manufacturing

2,335,068

2,542,089

2,818,218

8.9

10.9

4. Electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services

353,468

423,089

479,871

19.7

13.4

5. Construction

1,082,466

1,213,628

1,376,293

12.1

13.4

6.Trade,hotels,transport,communication and services related to broadcasting

2,538,268

2,823,263

3,151,709

11.2

11.6

7. Financial, real estate  &professional services

2,911,901

3,252,789

3,666,326

11.7

12.7

8. Public Administration, defence and Other services

1,896,516

2,206,652

2,521,395

16.4

14.3

 GVA at Basic Price

13,935,917

15,482,715

17,199,815

11.1

11.1

PE: Provisional Estimates

  

STATEMENT 5: Quarterly Estimates of GVA at Basic Prices for 2018-19

(at 2011-12 prices)

 

GVA AT BASIC PRICE (` in crore)

PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR

 

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

2017-18

2018-19

industry

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

388,288

326,299

546,003

456,876

404,433

340,906

570,993

486,706

424,869

357,728

586,941

486,094

4.2

4.5

4.6

6.5

5.1

4.9

2.8

-0.1

  2. Mining & quarrying

93,238

67,051

82,339

105,461

95,928

74,316

86,013

109,420

96,308

72,681

87,589

113,986

2.9

10.8

4.5

3.8

0.4

-2.2

1.8

4.2

  3. Manufacturing

512,135

509,041

487,612

546,255

503,682

545,309

529,731

598,201

564,815

582,672

563,804

616,749

-1.7

7.1

8.6

9.5

12.1

6.9

6.4

3.1

  4. Electricity, gas, water supply& other utility ser vices

62,527

62,353

60,849

60,762

67,876

68,063

65,424

66,358

72,437

73,955

70,831

69,204

8.6

9.2

7.5

9.2

6.7

8.7

8.3

4.3

  5. Construction

234,904

223,170

232,734

226,947

242,588

233,778

251,259

241,570

265,970

253,699

275,619

258,614

3.3

4.8

8.0

6.4

9.6

8.5

9.7

7.1

  6. Trade, hotels, transport &communication and services related to boardcasting

519,889

503,628

522,541

599,355

563,038

545,283

565,916

637,977

606,786

583,123

605,137

676,082

8.3

8.3

8.3

6.4

7.8

6.9

6.9

6.0

  7. Financial, real estate& professional Services

675,506

745,385

532,745

540,809

728,068

781,351

569,221

570,505

775,276

836,097

610,435

624,584

7.8

4.8

6.8

5.5

6.5

7.0

7.2

9.5

  8. Public administration, defence and Other Services

311,047

354,332

367,202

361,688

357,203

385,640

400,845

416,566

383,990

418,792

431,049

461,020

14.8

8.8

9.2

15.2

7.5

8.6

7.5

10.7

GVA at Basic Price

2,797,534

2,791,258

2,832,025

2,898,152

2,962,815

2,974,645

3,039,403

3,127,303

3,190,452

3,178,747

3,231,406

3,306,332

5.9

6.6

7.3

7.9

7.7

6.9

6.3

5.7

STATEMENT 6:  Quarterly Estimates of GVA at Basic Prices for 2018-19

(at Current Prices)

 

GVA AT BASIC PRICE(` in crore)

PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR

 

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

2017-18

2018-19

industry

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

568,840

483,020

793,380

651,119

584,658

518,297

865,702

701,489

624,313

539,889

883,641

728,008

2.8

7.3

9.1

7.7

6.8

4.2

2.1

3.8

  2. Mining & quarrying

80,839

59,455

75,644

105,933

88,212

67,532

84,138

111,175

104,736

82,344

101,089

121,982

9.1

13.6

11.2

4.9

18.7

21.9

20.1

9.7

  3. Manufacturing

576,352

576,182

555,263

627,271

581,965

632,480

619,490

708,154

677,419

705,617

686,820

748,363

1.0

9.8

11.6

12.9

16.4

11.6

10.9

5.7

  4. Electricity, gas, water supply& other utility ser vices

87,864

88,651

88,270

88,684

106,304

106,778

103,482

106,525

119,704

124,567

119,667

115,933

21.0

20.4

17.2

20.1

12.6

16.7

15.6

8.8

  5. Construction

273,974

262,894

274,735

270,862

298,669

291,897

317,470

305,591

342,766

332,671

363,807

337,049

9.0

11.0

15.6

12.8

14.8

14.0

14.6

10.3

  6. Trade, hotels, transport &communication and services related to boardcasting

607,001

594,468

619,004

717,796

675,552

663,613

696,658

787,439

763,514

747,274

780,370

860,552

11.3

11.6

12.5

9.7

13.0

12.6

12.0

9.3

  7. financial, real estate& professional Services

783,118

874,168

619,227

635,388

882,221

961,176

703,530

705,863

988,653

1,086,318

791,883

799,472

12.7

10.0

13.6

11.1

12.1

13.0

12.6

13.3

  8. Public administration, defence and Other Services

416,607

483,529

502,757

493,623

493,322

545,035

574,126

594,169

560,596

622,830

647,085

690,884

18.4

12.7

14.2

20.4

13.6

14.3

12.7

16.3

GVA at Basic Price

3,394,596

3,422,366

3,528,280

3,590,675

3,710,903

3,786,809

3,964,596

4,020,407

4,181,701

4,241,509

4,374,362

4,402,243

9.3

10.6

12.4

12.0

12.7

12.0

10.3

9.5

                                                                       

 

 

 

 

STATEMENT 7: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2018-19

                                              (at 2011-12 prices)

                                   

Item

 

(` crore)

 

RATES of GDP (%)

 

 

2017-18

 

 

 

2018-19

 

2017-18

2018-19

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)

 

1,783,905

1,757,656

1,907,486

1,968,442

1,914,259

1,929,745

2,061,529

2,111,141

56.4

54.6

58.1

56.0

56.1

56.1

58.9

56.8

  2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure

 

363,763

368,596

320,263

325,941

387,599

408,645

341,126

368,666

11.5

11.5

9.7

9.3

11.4

11.9

9.7

9.9

  3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)

 

989,620

998,232

1,046,238

1,102,482

1,121,028

1,116,240

1,169,021

1,142,162

31.3

31.0

31.8

31.4

32.8

32.4

33.4

30.7

  4. Change in Stocks

 

34,802

37,679

36,602

41,333

38,245

39,454

38,177

41,762

1.1

1.2

1.1

1.2

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.1

  5. Valuables

 

62,728

46,187

39,401

43,804

42,303

45,958

40,421

46,099

2.0

1.4

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.3

1.2

1.2

  6. Exports

 

633,368

647,213

652,539

674,190

697,740

729,297

761,502

745,430

20.0

20.1

19.9

19.2

20.4

21.2

21.8

20.0

  7. Less Imports

 

777,543

754,113

787,035

764,869

863,352

926,895

901,231

866,423

24.6

23.4

24.0

21.8

25.3

26.9

25.7

23.3

  8. Discrepancies

 

71,895

116,016

69,476

123,561

76,175

100,295

-9,524

130,993

2.3

3.6

2.1

3.5

2.2

2.9

-0.3

3.5

GDP

 

3,162,537

3,217,465

3,284,971

3,514,884

3,413,997

3,442,739

3,501,020

3,719,830

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

GDP  Growth rates

 

6.0

6.8

7.7

8.1

8.0

7.0

6.6

5.8

               
                                                                                           

 

STATEMENT 8: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2018-19

                                             (at Current Prices)

Item

 

(` crore)

 

                                            RATES of GDP (%)

 

 

 

2017-18

 

 

2018-19

 

 

2017-18

2018-19

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 

  1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)

 

2,369,633

2,384,867

2,623,498

2,705,121

2,660,328

2,728,197

2,926,848

2,974,654

58.9

57.1

60.9

59.0

58.7

58.3

61.2

59.3

 

  2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure

 

485,089

504,265

444,841

451,418

541,256

581,902

488,062

523,394

12.1

12.1

10.3

9.8

11.9

12.4

10.2

10.4

 

  3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)

 

1,160,598

1,176,660

1,247,205

1,312,352

1,358,745

1,367,789

1,444,207

1,399,257

28.8

28.2

28.9

28.6

30.0

29.2

30.2

27.9

 

  4. Change in Stocks

 

39,809

43,264

42,376

48,441

45,111

46,989

45,737

49,835

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

 

  5. Valuables

 

73,678

53,176

49,288

42,564

45,964

51,240

51,147

45,641

1.8

1.3

1.1

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.1

0.9

 

  6. Exports

 

764,061

792,960

821,407

832,118

877,750

932,669

990,617

951,194

19.0

19.0

19.1

18.1

19.4

19.9

20.7

19.0

 

  7. Less Imports

 

928,583

914,135

983,113

932,688

1,073,071

1,170,093

1,159,618

1,091,152

23.1

21.9

22.8

20.3

23.7

25.0

24.2

21.8

 

  8. Discrepancies

 

58,703

134,974

65,028

126,131

74,602

140,034

-2,673

163,601

1.5

3.2

1.5

2.8

1.6

3.0

-0.1

3.3

 

GDP

 

4,022,988

4,176,031

4,310,530

4,585,456

4,530,685

4,678,727

4,784,328

5,016,424

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

GDP  Growth rates

 

10.7

11.4

11.5

11.5

12.6

12.0

11.0

9.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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