Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation

Highlights of Provisional Estimates (PE) of GDP, 2017-18 and Estimates of GDP for the Fourth Quarter, January-March (Q4), 2017-18

Posted On: 31 MAY 2018 5:31PM by PIB Delhi

The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has released the estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (January-March) Q4 of 2017-18 and Provisional estimates (PE) of national income for the financial year 2017-18. Highlights of the same are given below:

      Quarterly Estimates (Q4, 2017-18)

  • GDP at 2011-12 prices in the fourth quarter (Q4) of financial year 2017-18 registered growth rate   of 7.7 per cent as against  5.6 percent , 6.3 percent and 7.0 percent respectively, in the first three quarters, Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2017-18. Rapid growth in agriculture (4.5%), manufacturing (9.1%) and construction sectors (11.5%) contributed to the overall growth.
  • At the sectoral level, the growth rate of GVA at constant (2011-12) prices in Q4 of 2017-18 for agriculture & allied sectors, industry and services sectors are estimated at 4.5 per cent, 8.8 per cent, and 7.7 per cent respectively.
  • The rate of growth of gross fixed capital formation at constant prices increased to 14.4 percent in the fourth quarter on account of 9.0 Percent growth in capital goods in Q4 of 2017-18 as against 0.8 percent, 6.1 percent and 9.1 percent respectively, in the first three quarters, Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2017-18.

Provisional estimates of GDP for 2017-18

  • As per the Provisional estimates of national income, the growth rate of GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the financial year 2017-18 is estimated at 6.7 percent. At the sectoral level, the growth rate of GVA at constant (2011-12) prices for agriculture & allied sectors, industry and services sectors for the year 2017-18 are estimated at 3.4 per cent, 5.5 per cent, and 7.9 per cent respectively.

 

Provisional Estimates of Annual National Income, 2017-18 And

Quarterly Estimates (Q4) of Gross Domestic Product, 2017-18

 

The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation,  has released  the Provisional estimates of national income for the financial year 2017-18, both at constant (2011-12) and current prices. These are presented in Statements 1 to 4.

2.         Quarterly estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (January-March) of 2017-18, both at constant (2011-12) and current prices along with the corresponding quarterly estimates of expenditure components of GDP are also released. The four quarters of a financial year are denoted by Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4. Estimates including growth rates of Q1, Q2 and Q3 of 2017-18 released earlier have been revised in accordance with the revision policy of National Accounts. GDP at constant (2011-12) prices in Q4 of 2017-18 is estimated at `34.77 lakh crore, as against `32.27 lakh crore in Q4 of 2016-17, showing a growth rate of 7.7 percent. Quarterly estimates for the years 2015-16,  2016-17, and 2017-18 are presented in Statements 5 to 8.

3.         GDP growth rates for 2017-18 and Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of 2017-18 at constant (2011-12) and current prices are given below:

 

Growth Rates of GDP

 

Constant prices (2011-12)

Current prices

Annual 2017 -18 

6.7

10.0

Q1 2017-18 (April-June)

5.6

8.3

Q2 2017-18 (July-Sep)

6.3

9.5

Q3 2017-18 (Oct-Dec)

7.0

11.0

Q4 2017-18 (Jan-Mar)

7.7

10.9

 

 

I.        PROVISIONAL ESTIMATES OF NATIONAL INCOME,  2017-18

4.         The Second Advance Estimates of national income for the year 2017-18 were released on 28th February, 2018. These estimates have now been revised incorporating latest estimates of agricultural production, index of industrial production (IIP) and performance of key sectors like, railways, transport other than railways, communication, banking, insurance and Government revenue expenditure. With the introduction of Goods and Services Tax (GST) from 1st July 2017 and consequent changes in the tax structure, the total tax revenue used for GDP compilation include non-GST revenue and GST revenue. Early results on the performance of corporate sector for April-December 2017 which were used in the advance estimates have been revised on the basis of latest available information.

5.         The salient features of these estimates are detailed below:

I. (a)  Estimates at constant (2011-12) prices

Gross Domestic Product

     6.    Real GDP or GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the year 2017-18 is now estimated at `130.11 lakh crore showing a growth rate of 6.7 percent over First Revised Estimates of GDP for the year 2016-17 of `121.96 lakh crore, released on 31st January, 2018.   

Gross Value Added (GVA) at Basic Prices

7.         Real GVA, i.e, GVA at basic constant (2011-12) prices for the year 2017-18 is now estimated at `119.76 lakh crores showing a growth rate of 6.5 percent over First Revised Estimates of GVA for the year 2016-17 of `112.48 lakh crore, released on 31st January, 2018.

8.         The sectors which registered growth rate of over 7.0 percent are 'public administration, defence and other services’ (10.0 percent), ‘ trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting’ (8.0 percent), ‘electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services  (7.2 percent)’. The growth in the ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’, ‘mining & quarrying’, ‘manufacturing’,‘construction’, and 'financial, real estate and professional services' is estimated to be 3.4 percent, 2.9 percent, 5.7 percent , 5.7 percent and 6.6 percent, respectively.

9.         Industry analysis

Agriculture

9.1.      The ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’ sector has shown a growth rate of 3.4 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 6.3 per cent. The GVA estimates of this sector have been compiled using the Third Advance Estimates of crop production released by Ministry of Agriculture. The third advance estimates of food grain production was 279.51 million tonnes in 2017-18 which is higher than the second advance estimates of food grain production during 2017-18 of  277.49 million tonnes and final estimates of 275.11 million tonnes during the agricultural year 2016-17.

Mining and quarrying

9.2       The ‘mining and quarrying’ sector has shown a growth rate of 2.9 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 13.0 per cent. The Index of Industrial Production of mining registered growth of 2.3 percent during 2017-18 as compared to 5.3 percent during 2016-17. Production of coal and crude oil registered growth rates of 2.5 percent and (-)0.9 percent during 2017-18. The private corporate sector growth in the mining sector was estimated using the latest available information on major listed companies for the financial year 2017-18. Further, growth in WPI of mineral oil, coal and crude petroleum and natural gas is estimated at 12.5, 8.9 and (-)0.3 percent respectively during 2017-18  as compared to (-)0.8,  2.3,  and (-)4.5 percent respectively during 2016-17.

Manufacturing

9.3       The growth in the ‘manufacturing’ sector is estimated at 5.7  percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 7.9 percent. The private corporate sector growth (which has a share of over 70 percent in the manufacturing sector) as estimated from available data of listed companies with BSE and NSE was 9.0 percent at current prices during 2017-18. The quasi corporate and unorganized segment (which includes individual proprietorship and partnerships and Khadi & Village Industries having a share of around 21 percent in the manufacturing sector) has been estimated using IIP of manufacturing. The IIP of manufacturing registered a growth rate of 4.5 percent during 2017-18.

Electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services

9.4       GVA at basic prices for 2017-18 from ‘Electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services’ sector is estimated at 7.2 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 9.2 percent. The key indicator of this sector, namely, IIP of Electricity registered a growth rate of 5.4 percent during April-March, 2017-18.

Construction

9.5       GVA at basic prices for 2017-18 from ‘Construction’ sector is estimated at 5.7 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 1.3 percent. Key indicators of construction sector, namely, production of cement and consumption of finished steel registered growth rates of 6.3 per cent and 7.8 percent, respectively, during 2017-18 as compared to (-)1.2 percent and 3.1 percent respectively, during 2016-17.

Trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting

9.6.      GVA at basic prices for 2017-18 from this sector is estimated at 8.0 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 7.2 percent. Key indicator used for estimating GVA from Trade sector is the sales tax growth. With introduction of GST, sales tax data is now subsumed under GST. Therefore, a comparable estimate of turnover based on sales tax has been estimated. Methodology of estimation is as explained in the Annex to the press note on estimates of GDP for the second quarter (July-September) of 2017-18 released on 30th November, 2017. Indicator used for measuring GVA from hotels and restaurant sector is the private corporate growth in this sector. Among the other services sectors, the sale of commercial vehicles, cargo handled at major sea ports, cargo handled by the civil aviation and passengers handled by the civil aviation registered growth rates of 19.9 percent, 4.8 percent, 15.6 percent and 16.5 percent, respectively, during April-March, 2017-18. Indicators of Railways sector, namely, Net Tonne Kilometers and Passenger Kilometers have shown growth of 6.1 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively, during 2017-18.

Financial,  real estate and professional services

9.7       The sector 'financial, real estate and professional services' has shown a growth rate of 6.6 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 6.0 percent. Major component of this industry is the real estate and professional services which has a share of 72.0 percent. The key indicators of this sector are the quarterly growth of corporate sector for Real estate, business services and  computer related activities which is estimated from available data from listed companies. The key indicators of banking, namely, aggregate bank deposits and bank credits have shown growth of 6.7 percent and 10.3 percent, respectively, as on 31stMarch, 2018.

Public administration, defence and other services

9.8       The sector ‘Public administration, defence and other services' has shown a growth rate of 10 percent as against previous year’s growth rate of 10.7 per cent. The key indicator of this sector namely, Union government revenue expenditure grew by 14.7 percent during this period.

Gross National Income

10.       The Gross National Income (GNI) at 2011-12 prices is now estimated at `128.64 lakh crore during 2017-18, as against the previous year’s estimate of `120.52 lakh crore. In terms of growth rates, the Gross National Income is estimated to have risen by 6.7 percent during 2017-18, in comparison to the growth rate of 7.1 percent in 2016-17.

Per Capita Income

11.       The per capita income in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) during 2017-18 is estimated to have attained a level of ` 86668 as compared to ` 82229 for the year 2016-17. The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 5.4 percent during 2017-18, as against 5.7 percent in the previous year.

 

Price indices used as deflators

12.       The wholesale price index (WPI), in respect of the groups food articles, minerals, manufactured products and all commodities, has risen by 2.0 percent, 7.0 percent, 2.7 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively during April-March, 2017-18. The consumer price index has shown a rise of 3.6 percent during April- March, 2017-18.

I. (b) Estimates at current prices

Gross Domestic Product

13.       GDP at current prices for the year 2017-18 is estimated at `167.73 lakh crore, showing a growth rate of 10.0 percent over the First Revised Estimates of GDP for the year 2016-17 of `152.54 lakh crore.

14.       The sectors which registered growth rate of over 9.0 percent and above at current prices are mining & quarrying, ‘trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting’,  'financial, real estate & professional services', and 'public administration, defence and other services’. 

National Income

15.       The GNI at current prices is estimated at `165.87 lakh crore during 2017-18, as compared to `150.77 lakh crore during 2016-17, showing a rise of 10 percent.

Per Capita Net National Income

16.       The per capita income at current prices during 2017-18 is estimated to have attained a level of ` 112835 as compared to the estimates for the year 2016-17 of ` 103870 showing a rise of 8.6 percent.

II        ANNUAL ESTIMATES OF EXPENDITURES OF GDP, 2017-18

17.       Along with the Provisional Estimates of GDP by economic activity, the CSO is also releasing the estimates of expenditures of the GDP at current and constant (2011-12) prices. These estimates have been compiled using the data on indicators available from the same sources as those used for compiling GVA estimates by economic activity, detailed data available on merchandise trade in respect of imports and exports, balance of payments, and monthly expenditure of Central and State Government. As various components of expenditure on gross domestic product, namely, consumption expenditure and capital formation, are normally measured at market prices, discussion in the following paragraphs is in terms of market prices.

Private Final Consumption Expenditure

18.       Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at current prices is estimated at `99.14 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `90.05 lakh crore in 2016-17. At constant (2011-12) prices, the PFCE is estimated at `72.59 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `68.12 lakh crore in 2016-17. In terms of GDP, the rates of PFCE at current and constant (2011-12) prices during 2017-18 are estimated at 59.1 percent and 55.8 percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 59.0 percent and 55.9 percent, respectively in 2016-17.

Government Final Consumption Expenditure

19.     Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at current prices is estimated at `19.08 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `16.64 lakh crore in 2016-17. At constant (2011-12) prices, the GFCE is estimated at ` 14.00 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `12.62 lakh crore in 2016-17. In terms of GDP, the rates of GFCE at current and constant (2011-12) prices during 2017-18 are estimated at 11.4 percent and 10.8 percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 10.9 percent and 10.3 percent, respectively in 2016-17.

Gross Fixed Capital Formation

20.       Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at current prices is estimated at `47.79 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `43.52 lakh crore in 2016-17. At constant (2011-12) prices, the GFCF is estimated at ` 40.88 lakh crore in 2017-18 as against `37.98 lakh crore in 2016-17. In terms of GDP, the rates of GFCF at current and constant (2011-12) prices during 2017-18 are estimated at 28.5 percent and 31.4 percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 28.5 percent and 31.1 percent, respectively, in 2016-17.

21.       Estimates of gross/net national income and per capita income, along with GVA at basic prices by kind of economic activity and the Expenditures of GDP for the years 2015-16,     2016-17 and 2017-18 at constant (2011-12) and current prices are given in Statements 1 to 4.

 

III      QUARTERLY ESTIMATES OF GDP FOR Q4 (JANUARY-MARCH), 2017-18

 

III . (a)              Estimates at constant (2011-12) prices

22.       GDP at constant (2011-12) prices in Q4 of 2017-18 is estimated at `34.77 lakh crore, as against `32.27 lakh crore in Q4 of 2016-17, showing a growth rate of 7.7 percent.  GVA at basic prices at constant (2011-12) prices in Q4 of 2017-18 is estimated at `31.01 lakh crore, as against `28.83 lakh crore in Q4 of 2016-17, showing a growth rate of 7.6 percent.

23.       Growth rates in various sectors in Q4 of 2017-18 are as follows: ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’ (4.5percent), ‘mining and quarrying’ (2.7 percent), ‘manufacturing’ (9.1 percent), ‘electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services’ (7.7 percent) ‘construction’ (11.5 percent), 'trade, hotels, transport and communication' (6.8 percent), 'financial, real estate and professional services' (5.0 percent), and ‘Public administration, defence and other Services' (13.3 percent).

24.       According to the latest estimates available on the IIP, the index of mining, manufacturing and electricity registered growth rates 1.0 percent, 7.1 percent and 6.1 percent, respectively, in Q4 of 2017-18, as compared to the growth rates of 7.9 percent, 2.2 percent and 4.3percent, respectively in these sectors in Q4, 2016-17. Performance of corporate sector based on available information from BSE/NSE has been taken into account for compiling quarterly estimates.

25.       The key indicators of railways, namely, the net tonne kilometers and passenger kilometers have shown growth rates of 7.4 percent and 9.9 percent, respectively in Q4 of 2017-18, as against the growth rates 0.2 percent and 2.3 percent, in the corresponding period of previous year. In the transport and communication sectors, cargo handled at major ports registered a growth rate of 8.5 percent in Q4 of 2017-18. The trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting sector have registered a growth of 6.8 percent in Q4 of 2017-18 as against 5.5 percent in Q4 of 2016-17.  The sector ‘Public administration, defence and other services' has shown a growth rate of 13.3 percent in Q4 of 2017-18 as against the growth rate of 16.4 per cent in 2016-17.

26.       The PFCE and GFCF at constant (2011-12) prices in Q4 of 2017-18 are estimated at `18.99 lakh crore and `11.19 lakh crore, respectively. The rates of PFCE and GFCF as percentage of GDP in Q4 of 2017-18 were 54.6 percent and 32.2 percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 55.2 percent and 30.3 percent, respectively in Q4 of 2016-17.

III . (b)  Estimates at current prices

27.       GDP at current prices in Q4 of 2017-18 is estimated at `45.34 lakh crore, as against `40.90 lakh crore in Q4 of 2016-17, showing a growth of 10.9 percent. GVA at current basic prices in Q4 of 2017-18 is estimated at `39.51 lakh crore, as against `35.69 lakh crore in Q4 of 2016-17, showing a growth of 10.7 percent. Growth rates in various sectors are as follows: ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’ (4.9 percent), ‘mining and quarrying’ (9.4 percent), ‘manufacturing’ (12.4 percent), ‘electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services’ (7.0 percent) ‘construction’ (14.5 percent), 'trade, hotels, transport and communication' (10.0 percent), 'financial, real estate and professional services' (8.8 percent), and ‘Public administration, defence and other Services' (18.4 percent).

28.         The PFCE and GFCF at current prices in Q4 of 2017-18 are estimated at `26.21 lakh crore and `13.18 lakh crore, respectively. The rates of PFCE and GFCF at current prices as percentage of GDP in Q4 of 2017-18 are estimated at 57.8 percent and 29.1 percent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 57.9 percent and 27.9 percent, respectively in Q4 of 2016-17.

29.       The wholesale price index (WPI), in respect of the groups, food articles, manufactured products, electricity and all commodities, has risen by 1.3 percent, 3.1 percent, (-)0.7 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively during Q4 of 2017-18. The WPI of minerals increased by 6.0 percent during Q4 of 2017-18. The consumer price index has shown a rise of 4.6 percent during Q4 of 2017-18.

30.       Estimates of GVA at basic prices by kind of economic activity and the expenditures of GDP for the four quarters of 2015-16, 2016-17and 2017-18 at constant (2011-12) and current prices, are given in Statements 5 to 8.

31.       The next release of quarterly GDP estimate for the quarter April-June, 2018 (Q1 of 2018-19) will be on 31.08.2018.

 

STATEMENT 1: Provisional Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP, 2017-18 (At 2011- 12 Prices)

 

 

(` crore)

 

 

 

S. No.

Item

2015-16

 

2016-17

 

2017-18

(PE)

percentage change over previous year

 

2016-17

2017-18

 

Domestic Product

 

 

 

 

1

GVA at basic prices

10503348

11247629

11976155

7.1

6.5

2

NetTaxes on Products

882797

948376

1034688

7.4

9.1

3

GDP (1+2)

11386145

12196006

13010843

7.1

6.7

4

NDP

10119785

10826074

11552178

7.0

6.7

 

Final Expenditures

 

 

 

 

    5

PFCE

6351137

6812334

7259098

7.3

6.6

6

GFCE

1125317

1262124

1399695

12.2

10.9

7

   GFCF

3448193

3797875

4087557

10.1

7.6

8

   CIS

232449

90256

94320

-61.2

4.5

9

   VALUABLES

185417

159735

253624

-13.9

58.8

10

Exports of goods and services

2371638

2489079

2627923

5.0

5.6

11

Less Imports of goods and services

2510848

2611628

2934879

4.0

12.4

12

Discrepancies

182842

196232

223504

 

 

13

GDP

11386145

12196006

13010843

7.1

6.7

 

RATES TO GDP

 

 

 

 

 

14

PFCE

55.8

55.9

55.8

 

 

15

GFCE

9.9

10.3

10.8

 

 

16

   GFCF

30.3

31.1

31.4

 

 

17

   CIS

2.0

0.7

0.7

 

 

18

   VALUABLES

1.6

1.3

1.9

 

 

19

Exports of goods and services

20.8

20.4

20.2

 

 

20

Less Imports of goods and services

22.1

21.4

22.6

 

 

21

Discrepancies

1.6

1.6

1.7

 

 

22

GDP

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

GNI

11251420

12051525

12864227

7.1

6.7

24

NNI

9985060

10681594

11405563

7.0

6.8

                  Per Capita Income, Product and Final Consumption

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

Per Capita GDP  (`)

88746

93888

98867

5.8

5.3

26

Per Capita GNI (`)

87696

92775

97752

5.8

5.4

27

Per Capita NNI (`)

77826

82229

86668

5.7

5.4

28

Per Capita PFCE (`)

49502

52443

55160

5.9

5.2

 

                   

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

 

 

STATEMENT 2: Provisional Estimates of National Income and Expenditures on GDP,  2017-18 ( At Current Prices)

 

 

(` crore)

 

 

S.No.

Item

2015-16

 

2016-17

 

2017-18

(PE)

percentage change over previous year

 

 

 

 

 

2016-17

2017-18

 

Domestic Product

 

 

 

 

1

GVA at basic prices

12566646

13841591

15182371

10.1

9.7

2

Net Taxes on Products

1197391

1412122

1590774

17.9

12.7

3

GDP (1+2)

13764037

15253714

16773145

10.8

10.0

4

NDP

12313813

13668987

15034912

11.0

10.0

 

Final Expenditures

 

 

 

 

    5

PFCE

8091249

9004904

9914401

11.3

10.1

6

GFCE

1427835

1663836

1908420

16.5

14.7

7

   GFCF

3918237

4352498

4778894

11.1

9.8

8

   CIS

254786

100152

107033

-60.7

6.9

9

   VALUABLES

202883

176447

252142

-13.0

42.9

10

Exports of goods and services

2728641

2946243

3194507

8.0

8.4

11

Less Imports of goods and services

3044915

3208505

3694286

5.4

15.1

12

Discrepancies

185321

218138

312033

 

 

13

GDP

13764037

15253714

16773145

10.8

10.0

 

RATES TO GDP

 

 

 

 

14

PFCE

58.8

59.0

59.1

 

 

15

GFCE

10.4

10.9

11.4

 

 

16

   GFCF

28.5

28.5

28.5

 

 

17

   CIS

1.9

0.7

0.6

 

 

18

   VALUABLES

1.5

1.2

1.5

 

 

19

Exports of goods and services

19.8

19.3

19.0

 

 

20

Less Imports of goods and services

22.1

21.0

22.0

 

 

21

Discrepancies

1.3

1.4

1.9

 

 

22

GDP

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

GNI

13604258

15077384

16587278

10.8

10.0

24

NNI

12154034

13492657

14849045

11.0

10.1

25

GNDI

14017341

15456822

16983715

10.3

9.9

26

NNDI

12567117

13872095

15245482

10.4

9.9

                  Per Capita Income, Product and Final Consumption

 

27

 

Per Capita GDP (`)

 

107280

 

117427

 

127456

 

9.5

 

8.5

28

Per Capita GNI (`)

106035

116069

126043

9.5

8.6

29

Per Capita NNI (`)

94731

103870

112835

9.6

8.6

30

Per Capita GNDI (`)

109254

118990

129056

8.9

8.5

31

Per Capita PFCE (`)

63065

69322

75337

9.9

8.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Estimates of Disposable Income are compiled only at current prices.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

STATEMENT 3: Provisional Estimates of GVA at Basic Price by Economic Activity

(At 2011-12 prices)                   

(` crore)

   

Industry

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

(PE)

Percentage change over previous year

     

2016-17

2017-18

1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

1615216

1716746

1,774,573

6.3

3.4

2. Mining & quarrying

328453

371066

381,965

13.0

2.9

3. Manufacturing

1898790

2048711

2,166,267

7.9

5.7

4. Electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services

224198

244934

262,496

9.2

7.2

5. Construction

866440

878110

928,484

1.3

5.7

6.Trade, hotels, transport, communication and  services related to broadcasting

1993627

2137102

2,307,684

7.2

8.0

7. Financial, real estate  & professional services

2299913

2437857

2,599,927

6.0

6.6

8. Public administration, defence and Other services

1276710

1413103

1,554,759

10.7

10.0

GVA at Basic Price

10,503,348

11,247,629

11,976,155

7.1

6.5

               

 

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

 

STATEMENT 4: Provisional Estimates of GVA at Basic Priceby Economic Activity

(At current prices)

 

(` crore)

 

Industry

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

(PE)

Percentage change over previous year

     

2016-17

2017-18

1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

2225368

2484005

2,594,729

11.6

4.5

2. Mining & quarrying

301230

332947

374,689

10.5

12.5

3. Manufacturing

2116119

2329220

2,530,311

10.1

8.6

4. Electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services

336978

363482

387,694

7.9

6.7

5. Construction

992298

1028463

1,118,946

3.6

8.8

6.Trade, hotels, transport, communication and  services    related to broadcasting

2303249

2521813

2,809,748

9.5

11.4

7. Financial,  real estate  & professional services

2631284

2857322

3,164,547

8.6

10.8

8. Public Administration, defence and Other services

1660120

1924339

2,201,707

15.9

14.4

 GVA at Basic Price

12566646

13841591

15,182,371

10.1

9.7

PE: Provisional Estimates

 

                                   STATEMENT 5: Quarterly Estimates of GVA at Basic Prices for 2017-18

                                                                                                                     (at 2011-12 prices)

 

GVA AT BASIC PRICE (` in crore)

PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR

 

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

2016-17

2017-18

industry

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

371,195

307,722

511,119

425,180

386,986

324,733

549,517

455,509

398,609

333,334

566,682

475,948

4.3

5.5

7.5

7.1

3.0

2.6

3.1

4.5

  2. Mining & quarrying

89,728

65,773

78,536

94,416

99,129

71,728

88,068

112,140

100,811

76,704

89,266

115,185

10.5

9.1

12.1

18.8

1.7

6.9

1.4

2.7

  3. Manufacturing

464,777

471,426

449,199

513,388

510,673

507,701

485,508

544,829

501,599

543,682

526,757

594,229

9.9

7.7

8.1

6.1

-1.8

7.1

8.5

9.1

  4. Electricity, gas, water supply& other utility ser vices

55,242

57,858

55,210

55,888

62,114

61,945

60,480

60,396

66,537

66,717

64,171

65,072

12.4

7.1

9.5

8.1

7.1

7.7

6.1

7.7

  5. Construction

218,498

206,034

216,686

225,222

225,077

213,851

222,748

216,434

229,196

220,536

237,376

241,376

3.0

3.8

2.8

-3.9

1.8

3.1

6.6

11.5

  6. Trade, hotels, transport & communication and services related to boardcasting

475,423

467,887

484,591

565,726

517,644

501,747

520,711

597,001

560,913

544,404

565,018

637,348

8.9

7.2

7.5

5.5

8.4

8.5

8.5

6.8

  7. Financial, real estate & professional Services

596,365

671,733

507,259

524,557

659,189

727,192

521,674

529,803

714,789

771,317

557,775

556,046

10.5

8.3

2.8

1.0

8.4

6.1

6.9

5.0

  8. Public administration, defence and Other Services

291,784

332,806

336,926

315,194

314,250

359,272

372,659

366,923

356,731

381,131

401,202

415,696

7.7

8.0

10.6

16.4

13.5

6.1

7.7

13.3

GVA at Basic Price

2563013

2581239

2639526

2719571

2775063

2768167

2821365

2883035

2929185

2937824

3008246

3100901

8.3

7.2

6.9

6.0

5.6

6.1

6.6

7.6

               STATEMENT 6:  Quarterly Estimates of GVA at Basic Prices for 2017-18

                                                                                                             (at current prices)

 

GVA AT BASIC PRICE(` in crore)

PERCENTAGE CHANGE OVER PREVIOUS YEAR

 

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

2016-17

2017-18

industry

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

  1. Agriculture, forestry & fishing

498,985

423,576

720,632

582,175

563,170

475,789

799,163

645,884

566,713

496,356

854,083

677,578

12.9

12.3

10.9

10.9

0.6

4.3

6.9

4.9

  2. Mining & quarrying

92,155

62,847

70,822

75,406

83,403

61,720

78,514

109,309

94,696

71,203

89,200

119,589

-9.5

-1.8

10.9

45.0

13.5

15.4

13.6

9.4

  3. Manufacturing

523,083

526,395

498,978

567,663

575,041

574,997

553,186

625,996

579,718

630,767

616,181

703,645

9.9

9.2

10.9

10.3

0.8

9.7

11.4

12.4

  4. Electricity, gas, water supply& other utility ser vices

84,143

87,635

82,124

83,076

90,327

91,141

90,793

91,221

97,388

97,819

94,860

97,627

7.3

4.0

10.6

9.8

7.8

7.3

4.5

7.0

  5. Construction

253,525

237,344

248,409

253,021

260,680

250,158

261,113

256,512

271,537

264,977

288,615

293,817

2.8

5.4

5.1

1.4

4.2

5.9

10.5

14.5

  6. Trade, hotels, transport & communication and services related to boardcasting

555,854

544,061

560,833

642,501

602,741

590,614

615,164

713,294

671,076

660,610

693,542

784,520

8.4

8.6

9.7

11.0

11.3

11.9

12.7

10.0

  7. financial, real estate & professional Services

692,081

775,179

578,501

585,524

767,018

855,853

609,134

625,318

859,451

942,353

682,372

680,371

10.8

10.4

5.3

6.8

12.1

10.1

12.0

8.8

  8. Public administration, defence and Other Services

371,188

433,111

442,664

413,157

421,386

490,842

510,790

501,321

493,286

539,378

575,365

593,678

13.5

13.3

15.4

21.3

17.1

9.9

12.6

18.4

GVA at Basic Price

3,071,014

3,090,148

3,202,962

3,202,523

3,363,766

3,391,115

3,517,857

3,568,854

3633866

3703464

3894217

3950825

9.5

9.7

9.8

11.4

8.0

9.2

10.7

10.7

                                                                     

 

 

 

 

STATEMENT 7: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2017-18

                                              (at 2011-12 prices)

                                   

 

Item

 

(` crore)

 

RATES  of  GDP (%)

 

 

 

2016-17

 

 

 

2017-18

 

2016-17

2017-18

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

   Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 

  1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)

 

1,595,219

1,619,781

1,817,549

1,779,784

1,705,974

1,730,288

1,923,991

1,898,844

54.0

54.3

59.9

55.2

54.7

54.5

59.3

54.6

 

  2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure

 

313,990

360,466

304,372

283,296

369,303

374,216

325,145

331,031

10.6

12.1

10.0

8.8

11.8

11.8

10.0

9.5

 

  3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)

 

960,255

921,132

938,951

977,537

968,141

976,881

1,024,006

1,118,528

32.5

30.9

31.0

30.3

31.0

30.8

31.6

32.2

 

  4. Change in Stocks

 

22,498

22,367

21,389

24,002

21,840

23,672

22,935

25,873

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

 

  5. Valuables

 

37,008

39,255

37,644

45,828

82,235

60,550

51,654

59,186

1.3

1.3

1.2

1.4

2.6

1.9

1.6

1.7

 

  6. Exports

 

603,715

612,021

617,872

655,470

639,145

653,613

656,006

679,160

20.4

20.5

20.4

20.3

20.5

20.6

20.2

19.5

 

  7. Less Imports

 

625,621

654,228

675,543

656,235

741,150

719,530

746,691

727,508

21.2

21.9

22.3

20.3

23.8

22.7

23.0

20.9

 

  8. Discrepancies

 

46,358

62,743

-30,143

117,276

72,929

72,420

-13,558

91,713

1.6

2.1

-1.0

3.6

2.3

2.3

-0.4

2.6

 

GDP

 

2,953,421

2,983,537

3,032,091

3,226,958

3,118,417

3,172,110

3,243,489

3,476,827

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

GDP  Growth rates

 

8.1

7.6

6.8

6.1

5.6

6.3

7.0

7.7

               

STATEMENT 8: Quarterly Estimates of Expenditures of GDP for 2017-18

                                             (at current prices)

                                   

 

Item

 

(` crore)

 

                                            RATES of GDP (%)

 

 

 

2016-17

 

 

2017-18

 

 

2016-17

2017-18

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 

  1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)

 

2,082,484

2,146,473

2,409,544

2,366,403

2,276,387

2,358,320

2,658,235

2,621,456

57.9

57.8

62.6

57.9

58.4

58.0

62.2

57.8

 

  2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure

 

407,970

477,261

403,501

375,105

490,957

510,364

450,221

456,878

11.3

12.8

10.5

9.2

12.6

12.5

10.5

10.1

 

  3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)

 

1,089,771

1,048,896

1,072,827

1,141,004

1,120,067

1,136,805

1,204,298

1,317,724

30.3

28.2

27.9

27.9

28.7

27.9

28.2

29.1

 

  4. Change in Stocks

 

24,726

24,724

23,786

26,917

24,522

26,682

26,065

29,764

0.7

0.7

0.6

0.7

0.6

0.7

0.6

0.7

 

  5. Valuables

 

40,534

46,975

45,590

43,347

84,431

60,936

56,482

50,293

1.1

1.3

1.2

1.1

2.2

1.5

1.3

1.1

 

  6. Exports

 

704,192

720,269

742,693

779,089

760,244

788,999

817,303

827,961

19.6

19.4

19.3

19.1

19.5

19.4

19.1

18.3

 

  7. Less Imports

 

757,439

797,968

844,678

808,420

912,714

898,512

966,311

916,749

21.0

21.5

21.9

19.8

23.4

22.1

22.6

20.2

 

  8. Discrepancies

 

6,254

48,717

-2,999

166,167

53,504

84,199

28,022

146,311

0.2

1.3

-0.1

4.1

1.4

2.1

0.7

3.2

 

GDP

 

3,598,492

3,715,346

3,850,265

4,089,611

3,897,399

4,067,793

4,274,316

4,533,638

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

GDP  Growth rates

 

11.0

10.8

10.8

10.7

8.3

9.5

11.0

10.9

               

 

 



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