1. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘TITLI’ over south Odisha & neighbourhood

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Titli moved northwestwards and crossed north Andhra Pradesh - south Odisha coasts, near latitude 18.8°N and longitude 84.5°E (near Palasa, Srikakulam District) to the southwest of Gopalpur, as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with estimated maximum sustained surface wind speed of 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph between 0430 and 0530 hours IST of today, the 11^th October 2018. It further moved west-northwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST  of today, the 11^th October 2018 over south Odisha near latitude 19.0°N and longitude 84.1°E, about 90 km west-southwest of Gopalpur and 60 km south-southeast of Phulbani.

It is very likely to move northwestwards for next 12 hours and then re-curve northeastwards towards Gangetic West Bengal across Odisha. It is very likely to weaken gradually becoming severe cyclonic storm around noon, cyclonic storm around evening and a deep depression by mid-night of today, the 11^th October 2018.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

1. 1. Heavy rainfall warnings:

Legends: Red-Take Action; Orange- Be prepared; Yellow- be updated; Green: No warning Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day

• 2. Wind warning
• Gale wind speed reaching 90-100 kmph gusting to 115 kmph very likely over Gajapati, Ganjam, Nayagarh Kandhamal & Raigada districts of Odisha during next six hours and gradually decrease thereafter becoming squally wind speed of 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph by evening. Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph very likely along & off south coastal Odisha during next 06 hours and squally wind speed of 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph likely during subsequent 18 hours.
• Squally wind speed of 40-50 kmph gusting 60 kmph very likely along & off north Odisha and West Bengal coasts during next 24 hours. Squally wind speed of 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph is very likely over adjoining districts of north interior Odisha from today afternoon for subsequent 12 hours.
  3. Sea condition
• The sea condition will be very rough to high over westcentral & north Bay of Bengal and along  & off south Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 06 hours. It will become very rough along & off these coasts for subsequent 24 hours and gradually improve thereafter. Sea conditions will be rough to very rough along & off West Bengal and north Odisha Coasts on 11^th & 12^th October.
  4. Damage Expected over Gajapati, Ganjam, Nayagarh Kandhamal and Raigada districts of Odisha:
• Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets may fly.
• Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes
• Minor damage to power and communication lines
• Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees. Moderate damage to banana and papaya trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees
• Major damage to standing crops, plantations and orchards.
  5. Action Suggested:
• Total suspension of fishing operations.
• The fishermen are advised not to venture into north Bay of Bengal on 11^th & 12^th October 2018.
• People advised to remain indoors during next six hours in the around 100 km from the centre of the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over south Odisha .
• Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic needed.

Verification of Heavy Rainfall Warning issued at 0830 hours IST of 10^th September for Day-1 upto 0830 hours IST of 11^th September is given at Annexure-I.

2. Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral & adjoining southwest Arabian Sea:

Yesterday’s very severe cyclonic storm ‘LUBAN’ over westcentral Arabian Sea moved initially northwestawards & then westwards and lay centered at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 11^th October 2018 over westcentral Arabian Sea, near latitude 14.5°N and longitude 58.0°E, about 500 km east- southeast of Salalah (Oman), 490 km east-northeast of Socotra Islands (Yemen) and 670 km east- southeast of Al-Ghaidah (Yemen). It is very likely to intensify further and move west-northwestwards towards Yemen & South Oman Coasts during next 4 days.

Forecast track & intensity are given in the following table:

Warnings:

• 1. Wind warning
• Gale wind speed reaching 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph is prevailing over westcentral Arabian Sea. It is very likely to decrease gradually becoming 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph by 14^th October 2018 morning over westcentral Arabian Sea around the system centre.

1. 2. Sea condition

• • The sea condition is phenomenal around the system centre. It is very likely continue to be phenomenal over westcentral Arabian Sea till 13^th October 2018 morning and over adjoin areas of Gulf of Aden.

1. 3. Fishermen Warning

• • The fishermen are advised not to venture into deep sea areas of westcentral Arabian Sea & Gulf of Aden till 14^th October.

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RDS/GK